When, after all, will we all be vaccinated against the virus?
While I think of the thousands of swallows that froze to death at the start of the year in Spain following the passage of storm Filomena, I let the roulette roll.
And she predicts: Judging by the current 3,487,098 variables in the covidian car floor, I euzinha euzoca will only receive the first dose of the vaccine between the summer of this year and March 2022.
The prediction comes from the omni calculator, a Polish startup with a team of bright young scientists from different countries dedicated to creating calculators of all kinds in fields as diverse as health, construction and sports.
The “Spain Vaccination Queue Calculator” is one of those beauties (unfortunately there isn’t one for Brazil zil yet).
Developed by Dominike Miszewska and Álvaro Díez Gepe, two young students of medicine and particle physics (!), Respectively, the interface combines more general parameters (age group, risk conditions, place of residence) with three projections different vaccination rates (government, and personalized).
According to the calculator, for example, a healthcare professional would have, at this very moment, just under 500,000 people in front of him in the vaccination line.
Given the popular acceptance rate of the vaccine (79%) and the government’s current forecast of dispensing approximately 1,513,890 doses per week, this person would therefore receive their first bite before the end of February.
In addition, the entire population would be vaccinated in 10 months, that is to say until November of this year. Note: we are talking about the optimistic unicorn forecast from the Spanish government.
Applying the current actual vaccination rate, which is much lower (approximately 312,356 doses per week), this same person would be vaccinated at around the same time, due to the government’s strategy to speed up vaccination for this profile. and to postpone their turn. who have been infected in the past 6 months.
On the other hand, the Spanish population as a whole would only be vaccinated within four FOUR years.
Pause for the deadly silence and the cooing, I don’t know, of the swallows, here in the Spanish lands called golondrinas.
((Another pause for a quick thought: Did you know that the number four (SHI) is considered a bad omen in Japan? Because the pronunciation is very reminiscent of the word death. Now, now, I don’t want to imply anything except if, this cloudy friday, after getting drunk on sekihan, my head is a little exaggerated)))
The same projection above would apply to an elderly person living in an asylum, or to anyone belonging to a risk group: the idea is to have all these people vaccinated by March.
Since the start of the campaign at the end of December, Spain has administered the vaccine to 23% of the priority population, which corresponds in total to 2.5 million people or 5.3% of the national population.
The vaccination rate has been emotionally uneven, but last week the country ran and those vaccinated dropped from 173,000 to almost 600,000.
In Catalonia, 90% of residents of geriatric homes have already received at least the first dose of the vaccine.
Meanwhile, we keep up with the ball with regional lockdown and 10 p.m. curfew, in addition to bars and restaurants operating at restricted hours and police unnecessarily trying to watch young people / families / pterodactyls picnic with a beer. or wine in Parc de la Ciutadella, postcard from Barcelona.
The story of the swallows reminded me of one of my favorite books by Jorge Amado: “The tabby cat and the swallow Sinhá”, from 1948, illustrated by the glorious Carybé, the most Bahian of Argentines. Here in Spain, translated as “El gato manchado y la golondrina Sinhá”. An impossible love, crazy like an extra summer, eternal like our days …